Primary Day is upon us. Check back here for frequent updates during the day from the races across the state, and beginning at 7pm EDT, up to the minute updates from every major race across the state. Both Dave Trotter and Kartik Krishnaiyer will be contributing all day long and late into the night.
A reminder about our endorsements for today’s Democratic primaries:
2nd Congressional District – Al Lawson
18th Congressional District – Patrick Murphy
22nd Congressional District – Lois Frankel
12th District- Geraldine Thompson
27th District – Jeff Clemens
39th District – Dwight Bullard
20th District – Marihelen Wheeler
46th District – Jason Henry
49th District – Joe Saunders
63rd District – Mark Danish
98th District – Louis Reinstein
107th District- Barbara Watson
9th Judicial Circuit – Jeff Ashton
17th Judicial Circuit – Chris Mancini
County and Local
Orange County Sheriff – Jerry Demings
Running updates below
ALL TIMES Eastern Daylight
6:20 AM (Dave Trotter) – Regional Weather Report (Rapid Refresh Model Forecast): Panhandle: Light showers will be present throughout most of the Panhandle today. There will be a break in the weather around 9 AM to 11 AM, but then light storms will intensify as the afternoon progresses. Most storms in the area will dissipate around 5 PM, but storms around Tallahassee could remain until polls close.
North Florida: Morning in north Florida will be clear, but light showers will start to build around the Big Bend and Gainesville by 1 PM. These storms will only last an hour or two. Light showers could return to Gainesville around 5 PM as well as in Ocala. The ones near Ocala could intensify until the polls close. Jacksonville should be clear of rain all day.
Central Florida: Light showers in Daytona Beach and Seminole County could be present when the polls open. These showers should die off by 10 AM. Pinellas County could also experience some light rain as well. From noon until 3 PM, most of Central Florida should be clear, but stronger storms will build up around Daytona Beach and could linger until the polls close. Orlando and Tampa should be clear of rain most of the day, with storms in the Orlando area only intensifying around 7 PM.
Southwest Florida: Light storms will be present in most of SW Florida between the hours of 7 AM to noon. At noon, skies will clear, but more intense storms will be moving into the area around 5 PM with heavy rain in Ft. Myers until polls close.
Southeast Florida: Martin and parts of Palm Beach could experience some light showers when the polls open. These storms will dissipate around 11 AM, but light showers in Dade and Broward county still start, with the most intense rain in Miami. While Miami might clear, most of the light rain will linger around Broward County. Storms will intensify in west Palm Beach County around 4 PM. Rain could be present the remainder of the day, but other models show that the population centers along the cost could be spared rain after 3 PM. The rain possibilities between Palm Beach and Miami are 50% in the afternoon.
8:00 AM (Kartik Krishnaiyer) – Jacksonville/Duval County: Reports of turnout in Jacksonville being moderately high for the big Bean-Weinstein Republican primary in SD 4. This battle is a proxy war for the Senate Presidency, much as the Frishe-Brandes battle today in Pinellas County is. The big difference being unlike SD 22 (Frishe-Brandes), which was carried by Obama and Sink but does not have a Democratic candidate, the winner today in SD-4 will face Nancy Soderberg, a highly thought of Democrat we profiled two months ago on this site. Soderberg has to this point in the cycle been the biggest recipient of FDP financing, receiving $23,000. Both John McCain and Rick Scott carried this district by a healthy margin, but Soderberg arguably has the best resume of any Democratic candidate in the state running for a legislative seat.
8:15 AM (Kartik Krishnaiyer) – Broward County – The incomparable Bob Norman, of WPLG Local 10 (Miami/Fort Lauderdale ABC affiliate) has reported that the controversial mail piece from the “Miami Tea Party” we reported about Saturday which gave a fake endorsement of Broward Sheriff Candidate Louis Granteed in the Democratic Primary was the work of non-other than famous Nixon/Reagan operative/trickster Roger Stone. Stone who faded from the national scene in the 1990s has been a prominent southeastern Florida political consultant and lobbyist since guiding Arlen Spector’s Presidential Campaign in 1996 to an early exit. Stone’s mailer has been the talk of the town since being dropped over the weekend.
9:21 AM (Dave Trotter) – Early voting numbers are high in Orange County. In 2008, early voting reached about 10,000. This time, it is around 18,000. The West Oaks Library has large Democratic numbers, which will be an impact on the Senate 12 race. Also, the Alafaya Trail Library had both high Democratic and Republican numbers. No doubt the Congressional race is pulling in the Republican numbers. The Democratic numbers might be for HD 49.
9:45 AM (Kartik Krishnaiyer) – Broward and Palm Beach Democratic leaders are complaining once again about “phony” palm cards circulating in condo areas. The “phony” palm cards are often done by candidates and are only “phony” in the eyes of Democratic club leaders who violate the bi-laws of the Florida Democratic Party by making endorsements in primaries and imply the opponents of the candidates listed on their palm cards are Republicans. The FDP has been unwilling to reign in the use of palm cards in condo areas which are now a dime a dozen.
9:55 AM (Kartik Krishnaiyer) – Palm Beach County Democratic Chairman Mark Alan Siegel has sent out the following alert about voter “fraud.”
“BertAaronson.com is a phony website unauthorized by Commissioner Burt Aaronson.
The Commissioner strongly continues to support Sheriff Ric Bradshaw.
Do not be fooled by this new, low level of election treachery.”
A treacherous move no doubt by Bradshaw’s opponents and a despicable one that should be rejected by the voters. But this is no different than some similar moves authorized and promoted by Democratic leaders in southern Florida themselves. But Aaronson is well within his rights to sue the perpetrators of this fraud and we would encourage him to do so. This race has been so below the radar I did not even know Bradshaw had an opponent until receiving this email. Then again, I no longer live in Palm Beach County and have been disconnected from local politics there. So the phony website worked. I am now aware Bradshaw faces races, albeit from a dirty trickster.
10:25 AM (Kartik Krishnaiyer) – Word out of the Treasure Coast is that their have been flyers circulating endorsing from Dave Weldon in the GOP Senate Primary from some sort of religious conservative group. We will search for confirmation of this as the morning wears on.
10:30 AM (Kartik Krishnaiyer) – Maybe slightly late here on this but Haley Barbour, the former RNC Chairman, Mississippi Governor and GOP superstar has endorsed John Mica vs. Sandy Adams.
11:15 AM (Kartik Krishnaiyer) –
Peter Schorsch over at Saint Petersblog explains why Pinellas
has collected so many more absentees for this primary than Hillsborough.
11:55 AM (Kartik Krishnaiyer) – Reports are of very low turnout in Broward County including in Condo areas. An August primary combined with the flood of negative ads may have kept super voters away.
1:04 PM (Dave Trotter) – Polling places around Central Florida have been busier than usual, especially in the 7th Congressional District.
1:07 PM (Dave Trotter) – According to the Florida Times-Union
, absentee voting in Duval County is 20% lower. Early voting was up about 1,700 votes from 2008. Only 7,000 votes in Duval have been cast to far, which is much lower than expected.
1:17 PM (Dave Trotter) – Lead story on the Miami Herald Website says “Technical glitches slow some voting in Broward”. This is said to be caused by the record amount of absentee ballots cast in Broward. 40,000 absentee ballots were returned to the Broward SoE.
3:04 PM (Dave Trotter) – St. Pete Times (oops, Tampa Times) reports over 1 million people have already voted in today’s primary, most of that from early and absentee voting.
3:15 PM (Kartik Krishnaiyer) – Lots of anger in Palm Beach County as current Tax Collector Anne Gannon was removed from a “Democratic” palm card in Century Village West (Boca Raton). Gannon has been challenged in the primary by long time Republican Pete Carney, a two time loser for the office when a member of the GOP, who switched parties just to challenge Gannon in the primary. Based on the removal of Gannon from the palm card it can be surmised that the Democratic club is working with some local leaders to put a stealth Republican in the Tax Collectors office. Gannon’s opposition has been covertly backed according to sources by many powerful south Palm Beach county “Democrats,” who are not elected officials but are in fact major behind the scenes players in the party.
4:05 PM (Kartik Krishnaiyer) – Turnout in the critical southwest Broward condo Century Village Pembroke Pines is slower than any election in memory, including March Pines municipal elections. However, the large numbers of absentees from Broward indicate a healthy number of early votes.
4:45 PM (Kartik Krishnaiyer) – Word out of Brevard County is that turnout is mixed in different areas of the county and that many votes were cast early particularly in Palm Bay and Melbourne.
7:00 PM (Kartik Krishnaiyer) – Polls are now closed in the Eastern Time Zone. Results to follow shortly.
7:10 PM (Kartik Krishnaiyer) – Early absentee results from Palm Beach County show Mac Bernard and Kevin Rader with comfortable leads over Jeff Clemens and Steve Perman respectively.
7:15 PM (Kartik Krishnaiyer) – Tom Lee leading Rachel Burgin by double digits early on absentees.
7:30 PM (Kartik Krishnaiyer) – If absentees are any indication, Sandy Adams’ short congressional career is over. John Mica up almost 2 to 1 early on.
7:45 PM (Kartik Krishnaiyer) –
Senator Mike Fasano is once again Rep. Mike Fasano. Details here.
7:55 PM (Kartik Krishnaiyer) – Todd Long looks destined to win the GOP CD-9 Primary meaning Alan Grayson is virtually assured of a return to Congress.
8:09 PM – TPH’s Public Enemy #1, Victoria Siplin, loses to Geraldine Thompson by 12%!!
8:25 PM (Kartik Krishnaiyer) – Andrew Morey, one of my personal favorite candidates running for State House this year holds a slim lead over Aaron Bosshardt in the HD 21 Dem Primary. Bosshardt had a huge fundraising advantage and the support of House Victory. Morey is a grassroots oriented candidate with lots of local activist support in Gainesville.
8:30 PM (Kartik Krishnaiyer) – SD 27, Jeff Clemens closing on Mac Bernard whose big lead among absentee/early votes has almost been completely erased by election day votes.
8:45 PM (Kartik Krishnaiyer) – Clemens has taken a narrow lead in SD 27. Ron Saunders on the strength of Monroe County has opened up a big lead in SD 39.
8:55 PM (Kartik Krishnaiyer) – Larry Lee appears to be headed to the General in HD 84 as former Rep. Adam Fetterman is falling short. Everett Rice has conceded in the Pinellas GOP Sheriff Primary.
9:10 PM (Kartik Krishnaiyer) – Despite the number of votes that still need to come in we feel fairly confident saying that Al Lawson will be the Democratic nominee to face Steve Southerland in November. Lois Frankel has sent an email to supporters (including yours truly) that she has won the nomination and will face ultra right wing Republican Adam Hasner in the fall.
9:55 PM (Kartik Krishnaiyer) – Dwight Bullard has taken the lead in SD 39.
10:25 PM (Kartik Krishnaiyer) – Dorworth has been renominated by the Republicans. That leaves the door slightly open for Mike Cleland in November. Politico calling the CD 3 race for Yoho beating both Stearns and Oelrich.
10:55 pm (Kartik Krishnaiyer) – The close HD 107 race between Julien and Watson is still hanging in the balance with provisional ballots and some precincts yet to be recorded.
11:10 pm (Kartik Krishnaiyer)- Looks like it will be Beshears vs. Hill in HD-7 come November. The seat is rated as a toss up. Jeff Brandes beat Jim Frishe and will face _____ in this St. Petersburg based seat that Obama and Sink both carried. Right, the Ds did not field a candidate and the seat goes automatically to the GOP.
We’re calling it a night. Tomorrow morning look for our first post primary analysis piece. Thanks again for reading.