Election Day Weather Watch: October 26th.

As someone who is a storm chaser, I am going to do a little daily weather briefing between now and Election Day. The two or three days before Election Day, the reports will be much more detailed, including geographically specific weather patterns in Florida. For now, things will be quite general.

Even since the GFS model that was run earlier today, there seems to be quite a bit of change. Previously, the only precipitation was in the northwest around Seattle. Now it looks like there could a low pressure system going through Arkansas which can bring between 1/2 and a full inch or rain to Arkansas and Louisiana. There also is the threat of light precipitation along Florida’s east coast between Jacksonville and Daytona. Even with this rain, nothing looks to be severe. The rest of Florida look alright for Election Day.

As for winter weather, light snow is expected in western Pennsylvania and New York, with the largest amount of snowfall being in Pittsburgh. This snowfall could total one inch. The snow is expect the dissipate as the day progresses.

As for the temperature, most of Florida will have a nice day. Temperatures north of Gainesville should be in the mid-60s while the rest of the state should be in the 70s. Even the early morning temperatures in places like Tallahassee and Live Oak should only see a low in the mid-50s.

As far as Hurricane Sandy, the National Hurricane Center seems to disagree with the latest GFS model. The NHC is saying that the storm is going to make landfall around Maryland’s Atlantic Coast Plain and work its way up to Washington DC on Tuesday morning. The latest GFS model indicates that the storm will travel much further north and make landfall around Long Island, NY around the same time. Both the National Hurricane Center and the GFS model indicates that the storm will make a sharp western turn inland. The threat to the Carolinas are minimized because of a current cold front pushing through the the country, which will force Hurricane Sandy away from the Carolinas. Still, once that front has passed, Sandy will be looking to make landfall.  If the storm takes the GFS course, New England all the way down to Washington D.C. can see sustained winds of over 20 knots. Boston, New Hampshire and Maine will get the brunt of the winds at over 60 knots.

As of right now, no races should be impacted by this storm. None of the states that will be hit by the GFS model have early voting with the exception of absentee ballots. Also, with the storm hitting seven days before the election, it is highly unlikely that this storm will cause any problems on Election Day.


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