Dave Trotter’s predictions for national races for governor, as well as Florida House and Senate.

Instead of writing an introduction, I will just go into my predictions. Here we go.

Governor Races:
DE: Democrats Retain
IN: Republicans Retain
MO: Democrats Retain
MT: Democrats Retain
NC: Republican Takeover
ND: Republican Retain
NH: Democrats Retain
UT: Republicans Retain
VT: Democrats Retain
WA: Democrats Retain
WV: Democrats Retain

Florida Senate
Dist 1: Don Gaetz (R)
Dist 2: Greg Evers (R)
Dist 3: Bill Montford (D)
Dist 4: Aaron Bean (R)
Dist 5: Charles Dean (R)
Dist 6: John Thrasher (R)
Dist 7: Rob Bradley (R)
Dist 8: Dorothy Hukill (R)
Dist 9: Audrey Gibson (D)
Dist 10: David Simmons (R)
Dist 11: Alan Hays (R)
Dist 12: Geraldine Thompson (D)
Dist 13: Andy Gardiner (R)
Dist 14: Darren Soto (D)
Dist 15: Kelly Stargel (R)
Dist 16: Thad Altman (R)
Dist 17: John Legg (R)
Dist 18: Wilton Simpson (R)
Dist 19: Arthenia Joyner (D)
Dist 20: Jack Latvala (R)
Dist 21: Denise Grimsley (R)
Dist 22: Jeff Brandes (R)
Dist 23: Garrett Richter (R)
Dist 24: Tom Lee (R)
Dist 25: Joseph Abruzzo (D)
Dist 26: Bill Galvano (R)
Dist 27: Jeff Clemens (D)
Dist 28: Nancy Detert (R)
Dist 29: Jeremy Ring (D)
Dist 30: Lizbeth Benacquisto (R)
Dist 31: Chris Smith (D)
Dist 32: Joe Negron (R)
Dist 33: Eleanor Sobel (D)
Dist 34: Maria Sachs (D)
Dist 35: Gwen Margolis (D)
Dist 36: Oscar Braynon (D)
Dist 37: Anitere Flores (R)
Dist 38: Rene Garcia (R)
Dist 39: Dwight Bullard (D)
Dist 40: Miguel Diaz de la Portilla (R)
Total: 26 Republicans, 14 Democrats

Florida House
Dist 1: Clay Ingram (R)
Dist 2: Clay Ford (R)
Dist 3: Doug Broxson (R)
Dist 4: Matt Gaetz (R)
Dist 5: Marti Coley (R)
Dist 6: Jimmy Theo Patronis (R)
Dist 7: Halsey Beshears (R)
Dist 8: Alan Williams (D)
Dist 9: Michelle Rehwinkel Vasilinda (D)
Dist 10: Elizabeth Porter (R)
Dist 11: Janey Adkins (R)
Dist 12: Lake Ray III (R)
Dist 13: Reginald Fullwood (D)
Dist 14: Mia Jones (D)
Dist 15: Daniel Davis (R)
Dist 16: Charles McBurney, Jr. (R)
Dist 17: Ronald Renaurt (R)
Dist 18: Travis Cummings (R)
Dist 19: Charles Van Zant (R)
Dist 20: Clovis Watson, Jr. (D)
Dist 21: Andrew Morey (D)
Dist 22: Charlie Stone (R)
Dist 23: Dennis Baxley (R)
Dist 24: Travis Hutson (R) (Possible “closer than expected” race)
Dist 25: Dave Hood (R)
Dist 26: Dwayne Taylor (D)
Dist 27: David Santiago (R)
Dist 28: Jason Brodeur (R)
Dist 29: Mike Clelland (D)
Dist 30: Karen Castor Dentel (D)
Dist 31: Bryan Nelson (R)
Dist 32: Larry Metz (R)
Dist 33: Marlene O’Toole (R)
Dist 34: Jimmie Smith (R)
Dist 35: Rob Schenck (R)
Dist 36: Mike Fasano (R)
Dist 37: Richard Corcoran (R)
Dist 38: Will Weatherford (R)
Dist 39: Neil Combee (R)
Dist 40: Seth McKeel (R)
Dist 41: John Wood (R)
Dist 42: Mike La Rosa (R)
Dist 43: Ricardo Rangel (D)
Dist 44: Stephen Precourt (R)
Dist 45: Randolph Bracy III (D)
Dist 46: Bruce Antone (D)
Dist 47: Bob Brooks (R)
Dist 48: Victor Torres (D)
Dist 49: Marco Pena (R)
Dist 50: Tom Goodson (R)
Dist 51: Steve Crisafulli (R)
Dist 52: Ritch Workman (R)
Dist 53: John Tobia (R)
Dist 54: Deborah Mayfield (R)
Dist 55: Cary Pigman (R)
Dist 56: Ben Albritton (R)
Dist 57: Jake Raburn (R)
Dist 58: Dan Raulerson (R)
Dist 59: Ross Spano (R) (could be the closest House race of the night)
Dist 60: Dana Young (R)
Dist 61: Betty Reed (D)
Dist 62: Janet Cruz (D)
Dist 63: No Prediction (Our projection was Mark Danish)
Dist 64: JW Grant (R)
Dist 65: Peter Nehr (R)
Dist 66: Larry Ahern (R)
Dist 67: Ed Hooper (R)
Dist 68: Dwight Dudley (D)
Dist 69: Kathleen Peters (R)
Dist 70: Darryl Rouson (D)
Dist 71: Jim Boyd (R)
Dist 72: Ray Pilon (R)
Dist 73: Greg Steube (R)
Dist 74: Doug Holder (R)
Dist 75: Kenneth Roberson (R)
Dist 76: Raymond Rodrigues (R)
Dist 77: Dane Eagle (R)
Dist 78: Heather Fitzenhagen (R)
Dist 79: Matt Caldwell (R)
Dist 80: Matt Hudson (R)
Dist 81: Kevin Rader (D)
Dist 82: MaryLynn Magar (R)
Dist 83: Gayle Harrell (R)
Dist 84: Larry Lee, Jr. (D)
Dist 85: Pat Rooney, Jr. (R)
Dist 86: Mark Pafford (D)
Dist 87: Dave Kerner (D)
Dist 88: Bobby Powell (D)
Dist 89: Bill Hager (R) (possible upset)
Dist 90: Lori Berman (D)
Dist 91: Irv Slosberg (D)
Dist 92: Gwyndolen Clarke-Reed (D)
Dist 93: George R. Moraitis, Jr. (R)
Dist 94: Perry Thurston (D)
Dist 95: Hazelle Rogers (D)
Dist 96: Jim Waldman (D)
Dist 97: Jared Moskowitz (D)
Dist 98: Katie Edwards (D)
Dist 99: Elaine Schwartz (D)
Dist 100: Joe Gibbons (D)
Dist 101: Shevrin Jones (D)
Dist 102: Sharon Pritchett (D)
Dist 103: Manny Diaz (R)
Dist 104: Rick Stark (D)
Dist 105: Carlos Trujillo (R)
Dist 106: Kathleen Passidomo (R)
Dist 107: Barbara Watson (D)
Dist 108: Daphne Campbell (D)
Dist 109: Cynthia Stafford (D)
Dist 110: Jose Oliva (R)
Dist 111: Eddy Gonzalez (R)
Dist 112: Alex Diaz de la Portilla (R)
Dist 113: David Richardson (D)
Dist 114: No prediction (My prediction was Ross Hancock)
Dist 115: Michael Bileca (R)
Dist 116: Jose Felix Diaz (R)
Dist 117: Kionne L. McGhee (D)
Dist 118: Frank Artiles (R)
Dist 119: Jeanette M. Nuñez (R)
Dist 120: Holly Merrill Raschein (R) (possible upset)
Total: 40 Democrats, 78 Republicans

Due to the fact that The Political Hurricane has promotional spots for both Ross Hancock and Mark Danish, I will not be making predictions in those races.

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4 thoughts on “Dave Trotter’s predictions for national races for governor, as well as Florida House and Senate.

  1. Honestly, I am looking at the numbers and polls and how I think they will break. Castor Dentel has a decent Democratic advantage in that district. As far as Joe, I feel Pena will take away enough of the Hispanic and, possibly, the UCF vote and that will put him in the lead. I terribly hope that I am wrong on this.

    As far as Morey, early voting numbers have nearly a 30% advantage for Democrats. And for Clelland, that is my wild-card I must admit. Still, the district isn’t as Democratic as many people think. It is like the Virginia myth of 2008.

  2. Pingback: Archive: 2012 predictions for national races for governor, as well as Florida House and Senate. | How The World Votes

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